Tobin South

Fulbright MIT PhD Student


G'day, I'm Tobin

I'm a data scientist with a passion for interesting problems. I'm from Adelaide, Australia but heading to MIT for a PhD in September on a Fulbright Scholarship.

Previously I completed a Masters of Philosophy in Applied Mathematics and Data Science at The University of Adelaide where my research focused on networks of natural language information flow (which received a Deans Award). Between these studies I have run the Bayesian arm of the COVID-19 forecasting for the Australian Federal government and worked as an RA on a variety of projects.

More broadly, my interests lie at the intersections of complex networks, machine learning, economics or social science. That's a broad set of intersections, but life is full of interesting questions.

When I'm not doing work, I can often be overheard trying to convince undergraduates to get involved in data science and mathematics. I was Valedictorian of the graduating class of Mathematics, Computer Science and Electrical Engineering, and was an active member of student societies throughout my Bachelors. Before that, I grew up in the "Peanut capital of Australia", the agricultural town of Kingaroy, Queensland.

Don't hesitate to reach out if you have something interesting to talk about.

Papers & Notable Projects

Spotify Networks & Critical Eigenvalues

Tobin South, Matthew Roughan, Lewis Mitchell, "Popularity and centrality in Spotify networks: critical transitions in eigenvector centrality", Journal of Complex Networks, Volume 8, Issue 6, 1 December 2020,

Complex Information Contagions

Pond, Tyson, Saranzaya Magsarjav, Tobin South, Lewis Mitchell, and James P. Bagrow. "Complex contagion features without social reinforcement in a model of social information flow." Entropy 22, no. 3 (2020),

Character Networks in Marvel

Roughan, Matthew, Lewis Mitchell, and Tobin South. "How the Avengers assemble: Ecological modelling of effective cast sizes for movies." PLoS one 15, no. 2 (2020):

Sentiment Analysis in Turn Bases Speech

Nguyen, Andrew, Tobin South, Nigel Bean, Jonathan Tuke, and Lewis Mitchell. "Podlab at SemEval-2019 Task 3: The Importance of Being Shallow." In Proceedings of the 13th International Workshop on Semantic Evaluation, pp. 292-296. 2019.

Federal Government Bayesian COVID-19 Forecasting

Forecasting COVID-19 cases during the pandemic to inform policy response. Using a hierarchical Bayesian model to learn state level priors for the effective reproduction number. Temporal posterior estimated using mobility indices and social distancing surveys which in turn allows for outbreak simulation. Github Repository Link.

Spatial Risk Mapping

Developing spatial risk mapping tools to identify COVID-19 risk using Facebook and Department of Transport mobility datasets. Developed using Plotly Dash in collaboration between UofA, UMleb and DSTG.


A package to calculate sequence level cross entropy rates (and self entropy rates), designed to by extremely fast for large text datasets. Useful in estimating entropic information flow. Built using python and numba.

Research MPhil Thesis

My Thesis titled "Non-parametric Information Flow Estimation in Social-Media News" submitted for my Master of Philosophy in Applied Mathematics and Data Science at the University of Adelaide.


I've had opportunities to both teach and design courses and have loved every moment. This has included roles as joint-lecturer for a postgraduate computer science course, practical laboratory tutor for data science courses, and workshop tutor for professional skills courses. Here is a few pieces of student feedback from the anonymous assessment of teaching quality surveyed each semester.

Very well versed in material, very outgoing and friendly, easy to talk to and genuinely interested in helping our improvement and learning.
He teaches with enthusiasm. He is always excited to teach new concepts. He clears everyone’s doubts with patience.
Tobin took an incredibly dry and tedious subject, and turned the tutorials into something I actively looked forward to attending. He was able to explain the concepts clearly, and made participation feel comfortable.
Please let Tobin be the main Lecturer. It could save students.

Professional Work & Startups

In early 2019 I co-founded an analytics startup which was acquired by AI consulting group Brainframe where I transitions to consulting work specialising in NLP and open data. In mid 2020 I co-founded a small healthtech startup digitising public sector medical consent, which was founded after winning a medical hackathon in Queensland. I've since moved on from both of these organisations.

Personal Life

In my free time I love to run 🏃, cycle 🚲, and swim 🏊, but I seem to be constantly injured in at least one the three sports...

Overall, I try to live by the words my mum would inculcate each morning.
Work hard,
Learn well,
Choose your attitude.

Helpful Links

CV (Sept 2020) Book a time to talk to me.